| 
 November 2-5, 2006  | 
||||
| 
 % of Registered Voters  | 
 Democratic candidate  | 
 Republican candidate  | 
 Democratic lead  | 
|
| 
 %  | 
 %  | 
 %  | 
 %  | 
|
| 
 Men  | 
 48  | 
 47  | 
 46  | 
 +1  | 
| 
 Women  | 
 53  | 
 56  | 
 34  | 
 +22  | 
| 
 18-34 year olds  | 
 23  | 
 49  | 
 40  | 
 +9  | 
| 
 35-49 year olds  | 
 30  | 
 51  | 
 40  | 
 +11  | 
| 
 50-64 year olds  | 
 26  | 
 50  | 
 42  | 
 +8  | 
| 
 65 years and older  | 
 21  | 
 55  | 
 38  | 
 +17  | 
| 
 Non-Hispanic whites  | 
 81  | 
 47  | 
 45  | 
 +2  | 
| 
 Blacks  | 
 10  | 
 83  | 
 7  | 
 +76  | 
| 
 All others  | 
 10  | 
 55  | 
 34  | 
 +21  | 
| 
 East  | 
 22  | 
 64  | 
 30  | 
 +34  | 
| 
 Midwest  | 
 24  | 
 53  | 
 36  | 
 +17  | 
| 
 South  | 
 33  | 
 44  | 
 48  | 
 -4  | 
| 
 West  | 
 21  | 
 48  | 
 42  | 
 +6  | 
| 
 Urban  | 
 27  | 
 53  | 
 36  | 
 +17  | 
| 
 Suburban  | 
 51  | 
 50  | 
 43  | 
 +7  | 
| 
 Rural  | 
 22  | 
 53  | 
 38  | 
 +15  | 
| 
 Less than $30,000 per year  | 
 21  | 
 61  | 
 26  | 
 +35  | 
| 
 $30,000-$74,999 per year  | 
 45  | 
 53  | 
 40  | 
 +13  | 
| 
 $75,000 or more per year  | 
 34  | 
 47  | 
 49  | 
 -2  | 
| 
 Republicans  | 
 34  | 
 6  | 
 90  | 
 -84  | 
| 
 Independents  | 
 30  | 
 50  | 
 30  | 
 +20  | 
| 
 Democrats  | 
 36  | 
 95  | 
 3  | 
 +92  | 
| 
 Conservative Republicans  | 
 28  | 
 5  | 
 94  | 
 -89  | 
| 
 Moderate/liberal Republicans  | 
 14  | 
 12  | 
 77  | 
 -65  | 
| 
 Conservative Democrats  | 
 9  | 
 91  | 
 3  | 
 +88  | 
| 
 Moderate Democrats  | 
 25  | 
 94  | 
 4  | 
 +90  | 
| 
 Liberal Democrats  | 
 16  | 
 94  | 
 3  | 
 +91  | 
| 
 White frequent churchgoers  | 
 37  | 
 36  | 
 57  | 
 -21  | 
| 
 White infrequent churchgoers  | 
 47  | 
 58  | 
 33  | 
 +25  | 
| 
 All others  | 
 16  | 
 69  | 
 18  | 
 +51  | 
| 
 October 2006  | 
||||
| 
 % of Registered Voters  | 
 Democratic candidate  | 
 Republican candidate  | 
 Democratic lead  | 
|
| 
 %  | 
 %  | 
 %  | 
 %  | 
|
| 
 Men  | 
 47  | 
 51  | 
 43  | 
 +8  | 
| 
 Women  | 
 53  | 
 60  | 
 31  | 
 +29  | 
| 
 18-29 year olds  | 
 13  | 
 61  | 
 32  | 
 +29  | 
| 
 30-49 year olds  | 
 39  | 
 54  | 
 38  | 
 +16  | 
| 
 50-64 year olds  | 
 26  | 
 55  | 
 37  | 
 +18  | 
| 
 65 years and older  | 
 22  | 
 56  | 
 36  | 
 +20  | 
| 
 Non-Hispanic whites  | 
 80  | 
 51  | 
 41  | 
 +10  | 
| 
 Blacks  | 
 10  | 
 86  | 
 9  | 
 +77  | 
| 
 All others  | 
 10  | 
 62  | 
 29  | 
 +33  | 
| 
 East  | 
 23  | 
 60  | 
 32  | 
 +28  | 
| 
 Midwest  | 
 23  | 
 58  | 
 34  | 
 +24  | 
| 
 South  | 
 32  | 
 52  | 
 40  | 
 +12  | 
| 
 West  | 
 22  | 
 54  | 
 38  | 
 +16  | 
| 
 Urban  | 
 29  | 
 64  | 
 27  | 
 +37  | 
| 
 Suburban  | 
 49  | 
 52  | 
 41  | 
 +11  | 
| 
 Rural  | 
 22  | 
 54  | 
 39  | 
 +15  | 
| 
 Less than $30,000 per year  | 
 25  | 
 64  | 
 27  | 
 +37  | 
| 
 $30,000-$74,999 per year  | 
 43  | 
 57  | 
 37  | 
 +20  | 
| 
 $75,000 or more per year  | 
 33  | 
 47  | 
 46  | 
 +1  | 
| 
 Republicans  | 
 30  | 
 7  | 
 89  | 
 -82  | 
| 
 Independents  | 
 31  | 
 54  | 
 28  | 
 +26  | 
| 
 Democrats  | 
 38  | 
 96  | 
 2  | 
 +94  | 
| 
 Conservative Republicans  | 
 26  | 
 5  | 
 91  | 
 -86  | 
| 
 Moderate/liberal Republicans  | 
 13  | 
 13  | 
 80  | 
 -67  | 
| 
 Pure independents  | 
 5  | 
 18  | 
 16  | 
 +2  | 
| 
 Conservative Democrats  | 
 10  | 
 94  | 
 2  | 
 +92  | 
| 
 Moderate Democrats  | 
 26  | 
 90  | 
 4  | 
 +86  | 
| 
 Liberal Democrats  | 
 19  | 
 97  | 
 1  | 
 +96  | 
| 
 White frequent churchgoers  | 
 35  | 
 43  | 
 50  | 
 -7  | 
| 
 White infrequent churchgoers  | 
 50  | 
 58  | 
 34  | 
 +24  | 
| 
 All others  | 
 16  | 
 76  | 
 16  | 
 +60  | 
| 
 October 2006: Based on a sample of more than 1,700 registered voters.  | 
| 
 September 2006  | 
||||
| 
 % of Registered Voters  | 
 Democratic candidate  | 
 Republican candidate  | 
 Democratic lead  | 
|
| 
 %  | 
 %  | 
 %  | 
 %  | 
|
| 
 Men  | 
 47  | 
 47  | 
 47  | 
 0  | 
| 
 Women  | 
 53  | 
 56  | 
 37  | 
 +19  | 
| 
 18-29 year olds  | 
 12  | 
 58  | 
 40  | 
 +18  | 
| 
 30-49 year olds  | 
 40  | 
 49  | 
 43  | 
 +6  | 
| 
 50-64 year olds  | 
 27  | 
 50  | 
 44  | 
 +6  | 
| 
 65 years and older  | 
 20  | 
 53  | 
 39  | 
 +14  | 
| 
 Non-Hispanic whites  | 
 79  | 
 47  | 
 46  | 
 +1  | 
| 
 Blacks  | 
 10  | 
 84  | 
 8  | 
 +76  | 
| 
 All others  | 
 11  | 
 51  | 
 42  | 
 +9  | 
| 
 East  | 
 23  | 
 60  | 
 32  | 
 +28  | 
| 
 Midwest  | 
 22  | 
 50  | 
 44  | 
 +6  | 
| 
 South  | 
 32  | 
 45  | 
 48  | 
 -3  | 
| 
 West  | 
 23  | 
 54  | 
 41  | 
 +13  | 
| 
 Urban  | 
 30  | 
 60  | 
 36  | 
 +24  | 
| 
 Suburban  | 
 49  | 
 50  | 
 43  | 
 +7  | 
| 
 Rural  | 
 21  | 
 42  | 
 48  | 
 -6  | 
| 
 Less than $30,000 per year  | 
 22  | 
 65  | 
 26  | 
 +39  | 
| 
 $30,000-$74,999 per year  | 
 45  | 
 50  | 
 44  | 
 +6  | 
| 
 $75,000 or more per year  | 
 33  | 
 47  | 
 49  | 
 -2  | 
| 
 Republicans  | 
 32  | 
 8  | 
 90  | 
 -82  | 
| 
 Independents  | 
 32  | 
 50  | 
 36  | 
 +14  | 
| 
 Democrats  | 
 36  | 
 93  | 
 4  | 
 +89  | 
| 
 Conservative Republicans  | 
 27  | 
 5  | 
 92  | 
 -87  | 
| 
 Moderate/liberal Republicans  | 
 16  | 
 15  | 
 80  | 
 -65  | 
| 
 Pure independents  | 
 5  | 
 32  | 
 21  | 
 +11  | 
| 
 Conservative Democrats  | 
 9  | 
 84  | 
 10  | 
 +74  | 
| 
 Moderate Democrats  | 
 25  | 
 88  | 
 7  | 
 +81  | 
| 
 Liberal Democrats  | 
 18  | 
 93  | 
 4  | 
 +89  | 
| 
 White frequent churchgoers  | 
 36  | 
 36  | 
 58  | 
 -22  | 
| 
 White infrequent churchgoers  | 
 48  | 
 57  | 
 37  | 
 +20  | 
| 
 All others  | 
 16  | 
 71  | 
 21  | 
 +50  | 
| 
 September 2006: Based on an aggregate sample of more than 1,700 registered voters.  | 
| 
 August 2006  | 
||||
| 
 % of Registered Voters  | 
 Democratic candidate  | 
 Republican candidate  | 
 Democratic lead  | 
|
| 
 %  | 
 %  | 
 %  | 
 %  | 
|
| 
 Men  | 
 48  | 
 45  | 
 49  | 
 -4  | 
| 
 Women  | 
 52  | 
 52  | 
 38  | 
 +14  | 
| 
 18-29 year olds  | 
 14  | 
 49  | 
 42  | 
 +7  | 
| 
 30-49 year olds  | 
 39  | 
 47  | 
 46  | 
 +1  | 
| 
 50-64 year olds  | 
 26  | 
 52  | 
 40  | 
 +12  | 
| 
 65 years and older  | 
 21  | 
 48  | 
 45  | 
 +3  | 
| 
 Non-Hispanic whites  | 
 82  | 
 43  | 
 50  | 
 -7  | 
| 
 Blacks  | 
 10  | 
 80  | 
 11  | 
 +69  | 
| 
 All others  | 
 9  | 
 62  | 
 27  | 
 +35  | 
| 
 East  | 
 22  | 
 56  | 
 34  | 
 +22  | 
| 
 Midwest  | 
 24  | 
 45  | 
 47  | 
 -2  | 
| 
 South  | 
 31  | 
 45  | 
 47  | 
 -2  | 
| 
 West  | 
 23  | 
 50  | 
 44  | 
 +6  | 
| 
 Urban  | 
 27  | 
 59  | 
 36  | 
 +23  | 
| 
 Suburban  | 
 52  | 
 45  | 
 46  | 
 -1  | 
| 
 Rural  | 
 21  | 
 43  | 
 46  | 
 -3  | 
| 
 Less than $30,000 per year  | 
 22  | 
 51  | 
 35  | 
 +16  | 
| 
 $30,000-$74,999 per year  | 
 45  | 
 52  | 
 41  | 
 +11  | 
| 
 $75,000 or more per year  | 
 33  | 
 43  | 
 53  | 
 -10  | 
| 
 Republicans  | 
 34  | 
 5  | 
 92  | 
 -87  | 
| 
 Independents  | 
 29  | 
 46  | 
 34  | 
 +12  | 
| 
 Democrats  | 
 36  | 
 92  | 
 6  | 
 +86  | 
| 
 Conservative Republicans  | 
 27  | 
 3  | 
 95  | 
 -92  | 
| 
 Moderate/liberal Republicans  | 
 15  | 
 12  | 
 83  | 
 -71  | 
| 
 Pure independents  | 
 8  | 
 22  | 
 16  | 
 +6  | 
| 
 Conservative Democrats  | 
 9  | 
 85  | 
 11  | 
 +74  | 
| 
 Moderate Democrats  | 
 23  | 
 88  | 
 8  | 
 +80  | 
| 
 Liberal Democrats  | 
 17  | 
 94  | 
 4  | 
 +90  | 
| 
 White frequent churchgoers  | 
 34  | 
 33  | 
 62  | 
 -29  | 
| 
 White infrequent churchgoers  | 
 49  | 
 52  | 
 40  | 
 +12  | 
| 
 All others  | 
 16  | 
 72  | 
 16  | 
 +56  | 
| 
 August 2006: Based on an aggregate sample of more than 1,700 registered voters.  | 
| 
 June-July 2006  | 
||||
| 
 % of Registered Voters  | 
 Democratic candidate  | 
 Republican candidate  | 
 Democratic lead  | 
|
| 
 %  | 
 %  | 
 %  | 
 %  | 
|
| 
 Men  | 
 47  | 
 47  | 
 45  | 
 +2  | 
| 
 Women  | 
 53  | 
 56  | 
 35  | 
 +21  | 
| 
 18-29 year olds  | 
 15  | 
 60  | 
 33  | 
 +27  | 
| 
 30-49 year olds  | 
 39  | 
 48  | 
 43  | 
 +5  | 
| 
 50-64 year olds  | 
 27  | 
 52  | 
 40  | 
 +12  | 
| 
 65 years and older  | 
 20  | 
 53  | 
 37  | 
 +16  | 
| 
 Non-Hispanic whites  | 
 81  | 
 47  | 
 44  | 
 +3  | 
| 
 Blacks  | 
 10  | 
 87  | 
 10  | 
 +77  | 
| 
 All others  | 
 9  | 
 57  | 
 31  | 
 +26  | 
| 
 East  | 
 23  | 
 57  | 
 33  | 
 +24  | 
| 
 Midwest  | 
 23  | 
 51  | 
 40  | 
 +11  | 
| 
 South  | 
 32  | 
 47  | 
 46  | 
 +1  | 
| 
 West  | 
 22  | 
 54  | 
 36  | 
 +18  | 
| 
 Urban  | 
 29  | 
 64  | 
 29  | 
 +35  | 
| 
 Suburban  | 
 48  | 
 48  | 
 42  | 
 +6  | 
| 
 Rural  | 
 23  | 
 44  | 
 47  | 
 -3  | 
| 
 Less than $30,000 per year  | 
 23  | 
 59  | 
 31  | 
 +28  | 
| 
 $30,000-$74,999 per year  | 
 45  | 
 51  | 
 40  | 
 +11  | 
| 
 $75,000 or more per year  | 
 32  | 
 49  | 
 44  | 
 +5  | 
| 
 Republicans  | 
 33  | 
 7  | 
 91  | 
 -84  | 
| 
 Independents  | 
 30  | 
 48  | 
 29  | 
 +19  | 
| 
 Democrats  | 
 38  | 
 95  | 
 3  | 
 +92  | 
| 
 Conservative Republicans  | 
 26  | 
 5  | 
 91  | 
 -86  | 
| 
 Moderate/liberal Republicans  | 
 15  | 
 13  | 
 81  | 
 -68  | 
| 
 Pure independents  | 
 7  | 
 20  | 
 17  | 
 +3  | 
| 
 Conservative Democrats  | 
 10  | 
 88  | 
 7  | 
 +81  | 
| 
 Moderate Democrats  | 
 23  | 
 91  | 
 4  | 
 +87  | 
| 
 Liberal Democrats  | 
 18  | 
 96  | 
 2  | 
 +94  | 
| 
 White frequent churchgoers  | 
 35  | 
 35  | 
 56  | 
 -21  | 
| 
 White infrequent churchgoers  | 
 50  | 
 55  | 
 36  | 
 +19  | 
| 
 All others  | 
 16  | 
 77  | 
 16  | 
 +61  | 
| 
 June-July 2006: Based on an aggregated sample of more than 3,500 registered voters.  |